Learn about Robert F. Engle III, a Nobel laureate credited with developing the ARCH model for analyzing financial market volatility and pioneering financial econometrics.

Volatility forecasting is a key component of modern finance, used in asset allocation, risk management, and options pricing. Investors and traders rely on precise volatility models to optimize ...

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Abstract: This paper considers estimation of a random variable in Poisson noise. Specifically, the paper focuses on properties of the conditional mean estimator as a function of the scaling ...

Speed variance—not just speed—drives crash risk. Higher average speeds raise deaths and big gaps trigger conflicts. Drive the lawful flow. “Slow equals safe” makes a great bumper sticker and a lousy ...

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Site Visit & Hearing: On Monday, August 11, 2025, at 20 Waughbrook Lane, Underhill, VT, a site visit will commence at 5:30 PM followed by a hearing @ 6:30 PM at the Underhill Town Hall, 12 Pleasant ...

Abstract: An estimation paradigm is presented for scalar discrete linear systems entailing additive process and measurement noises that have Cauchy probability density functions (pdf). For systems ...

“This doesn’t change 503—it just expands the variance process,” Marc Miller, who served as dean of University of Arizona James E. Rogers College of Law for 12 years, told Law.com. “The possibilities ...