As the National Football League crowned its champion, a familiar market superstition is again doing the rounds on Wall Street: the Super Bowl Indicator. The theory suggests that U.S. equities tend to ...

Momentum in U.S. stocks just keeps building, with the S&P 500 recently hitting fresh record highs (1). Yet despite the market euphoria, one gauge — popularized by none other than Warren Buffett — is ...

Recessions are periods where the labor market deteriorates rapidly. Supporting business conditions to prevent such deterioration is a core objective of policymakers. In this paper we construct a labor ...

The U.S. economy is expected to slow in 2026 amid a downturn in optimism among households and businesses, according to a basket of monthly economic indicators. The Leading Economic Index, or LEI, ...

The Global Compact on Refugees (GCR) Indicator Report tracks progress towards achieving the four objectives of the GCR. This year, 2025, sees the launch of the third GCR Indicator Report, which builds ...

Warren Buffett's one-time favorite yardstick for stock market valuations has climbed to an all-time high, reviving fears that investors are once again testing the limits of market exuberance. The ...

Economists often use imperfect historical information to form opinions about the economy’s direction. We often don’t know we’re in a recession until it’s well underway—typically, the National Bureau ...

The U.S. economy is set to slow, leading economic indicators say, with the impact of tariffs becoming more pronounced in the second half of the year through higher prices. The Leading Economic Index, ...

Gloria is a freelance writer who started her career writing daily news articles covering the fast-moving world of crypto and blockchain. She quickly became sought-after to write how-to guides on ...

June 20 (Reuters) - A measure of future U.S. economic activity fell in May for the sixth straight month and triggered a recession signal, held down by consumer pessimism, weak new orders for ...