Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...

In terms of class probability, entrepreneurs and consumers have to decide which characteristics of a particular event are unique (and not relevant to the probability estimate) and which elements are ...

Discover how Monte Carlo analysis helps investors assess risk and make informed decisions. Explore its role in generating ...

The US equity market stands at the most extreme valuations in history, on the measures we find best correlated with actual ...

Self-generated skills don't do much for AI agents, study finds, but human-curated skills do Teach an AI agent how to fish for ...

A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly ...

Putting humans and LLMs head-to-head in classic tests of judgment from human psychology underscores the differences between ...

Researchers from the University of British Columbia argue that a widely used method to understand and predict flood risk has led scientists to miscalculate how forests can prevent major flooding. The ...

People who live in Urbandale are about 100 times more at risk of getting breast cancer than Iowans who live in Fort Dodge, a ...

In Windows Admin Center, attackers can escalate their privileges. Microsoft classifies this as critical and advises admins to ...

Cohen & Steers REIT & Preferred & Income Fund offers stability amid market volatility, with a 7.6% dividend yield and monthly ...

AI faces are now nearly indistinguishable from real ones, often fooling even "super-recognisers" by being "too perfect." ...