The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of being ...

Discover how Monte Carlo analysis helps investors assess risk and make informed decisions. Explore its role in generating ...

As rare disease trials face persistent feasibility challenges, Bayesian designs are gaining momentum by enabling more ...

In terms of class probability, entrepreneurs and consumers have to decide which characteristics of a particular event are unique (and not relevant to the probability estimate) and which elements are ...

Although Duolingo suffered a severe drop following its Q4 earnings disclosure, the smart money seems intrigued by DUOL stock ...

Microsoft researchers have developed On-Policy Context Distillation (OPCD), a training method that permanently embeds ...

A multifractal spectrum called a weighted Cantor set model can describe how galaxies cluster, which is similar to other ...

Data is the life-blood of physical AI. Collecting real-life data is expensive. Generative AI and diffusion to create ...

Forests may reduce not only small floods but also the probability of major ones, according to a new study challenging ...

Federal Reserve reveals that prediction market data from Kalshi could improve how policymakers gauge macroeconomic expectations in real time.

The violent move had more to do with hedge funds' overcrowded bearish positioning getting wiped out than the company’s ...