A forecasting framework that measures how voters evaluate candidates’ future leadership abilities and policy expertise accurately anticipated the closely contested outcome of the 2024 United States ...

Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Polymarket advertisements predict a victory for Zohran Mamdani in the New York City mayoral election in November 2025. (Olga ...

As Spencer Pratt fell behind in the Los Angeles mayoral primary, an unexpected group began claiming election fraud: people tracking the Republican's success on prediction markets, the increasingly ...