"Yes or no: was there once life on Mars?" I can't say. "What about intelligent life?"' That seems most unlikely, but again, I can't really say. The simple yes-or-no framework has no place for shadings ...

a priori Probability: the probability that we determine from knowing the process by which the uncertain event happens (by logically examining existing information). Certain Event: event that is sure ...

Probability is the theory that allows us to make an inference from a sample to a population. It provides the mathematical and theoretical basis for quantifying uncertainty. Probability is also used ...